Kentucky Derby Contender 2016: OUTWORK 4 Days until the Derby

NO RACE IS TOUGHER THAN THE KENTUCKY DERBY! THE RUN FOR THE ROSES: PRESTIGE, HONOR, GLORY AND FAME TO THE HORSE WHO MAKES IT TO THE WINNERS CIRCLE!!!

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It can look so easy after the fact, but when it comes to the Kentucky Derby we all have a special reason for screaming our horses name.

Of course we do it for every horse in the field, scan there possibilities of winning, that is!

So lets do the scan work together on Outwork, the #4 Horse of Derby contenders. 

OUTWORK ( 120 points)

+ Owner: Mike Repole
+ Trainer: Todd Pletcher
+ Jockey: John Velazquez
+ Sire-dam: Uncle Mo-Nonna Mia
+ Stakes earnings: $660,000
+ Fastest Bris speed figure: 96, Wood Memorial, Tampa Bay Derby
+ Fastest Beyer speed figure: 98, Tampa Bay Derby
+ Last race: Won Wood Memorial at Aqueduct Race Course

The Scan for Outwork

This is a serious horse who has made a remarkable progression with each race. He finished a length behind Destin (second in the Tampa Bay Derby), and the victorious jockey (on Destin) that day acknowledged Outwork was on the worst part of the track. Outwork has the speed to stay out of trouble in a huge field, and the muddy win in the Wood Memorial shows he’ll handle about any type of surface. Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez picked this inexperienced horse to ride in the Tampa Bay Derby over stablemate Destin, because of his belief in Outwork’s potential. The racing gods owe Mike Repole, who owns Outwork and campaigned his sire, 2-year-old champion Uncle Mo, who was scratched the day before the 2011 Derby with what was described as a mysterious liver ailment. But here's the real scan in Outworks favor, he is the second foal from Nonna Mia, as was American Pharoah. The odds are in his favor of a Win or Place finish. He has very interesting Pedigree being he is not out of Tapit or in a line from Secretariat. But is in the line of Man O War, Danzig, Northern Dancer and Ben Brush one of the early Derby winners.

The Scan against Outwork

A horse who comes home the last eighth-mile in 14.0 seconds and the last three-eighths in 40.6 in his final prep is not going to win the Kentucky Derby, I don’t care how deep the mud was. He beat a maiden, Trojan Nation, by a head for the Wood Memorial victory. He has never been more than a length off the early pace, and he’ll have lots of company up front. The last Derby winner who started his career earlier than Outwork’s April 15 at Keeneland was Bold Forbes’ March 12 in Puerto Rico in 1976.  Mike Repole sold Vitaminwater to Coca-Cola for a gazillion dollars. Racing gods don’t owe him anything. And as for Todd Pletcher he is still not able to get past the Derby. 

The colt reminds me of Firing Line the guy who challenged American Pharaoh and finished second!